News Center
News CenterFord Expects Outstanding 2013 and Provides 2014 Outlook+
Ford Expects Outstanding 2013 and Provides 2014 Outlook+
• |
Ford expects 2013 to be one of
the best full-year results in its history, with strong revenue growth,
market share in all regions improved or equal to last year, total company
pre-tax profit of about $8.5 billion, substantially higher Automotive
operating-related cash flow than a year ago and a stronger balance
sheet |
• |
2014 is expected to be another
solid year and a critical next step in the One Ford plan as Ford launches
the most vehicles in a single year in more than a century and invests
across the business for profitable growth in the years
ahead |
DEARBORN, Mich.,
Dec. 18, 2013 — Ford
Motor Company announced today that 2013 is expected to be one of the best years
in its history and projects 2014 to be another solid year for the company with
23 global product launches and continued investments around the world as the next step in its One Ford plan for
profitable growth.
“We are celebrating what we expect
to be an outstanding 2013, one that is likely to be among the best in our
history,” said Bob Shanks, Ford executive vice president and chief financial
officer. “Once the year is finished, we expect it will show that we grew the
business, delivered strong financial results, progressed the restructuring of
our operations in Europe and Australia, strengthened our balance sheet and
provided attractive returns to our investors.”
2013 An
Outstanding Year
2013 is expected to be among the
best years in Ford’s history. Full-year Automotive revenue is projected to grow
about 10 percent, with market share increases in all regions other than Europe,
where Ford expects higher retail share of the retail passenger car industry, as
well as improved share of the commercial vehicle market. In Asia Pacific Africa
and China, the company expects record market shares.
Ford is making good progress in
implementing its Europe transformation plan and also announced earlier in the
year a plan to restructure operations in Australia.
The company continued to strengthen
its Automotive balance sheet. It estimates that it nearly cut in half the
underfunded status of its global pension plans compared with the end of 2012.
Ford also shared a comprehensive capital strategy with investors, one that is
targeted to deliver high levels of shareholder value. Early in the year, Ford
doubled its dividend and also implemented an anti-dilutive share repurchase
program to offset compensation-related issuances. Based on performance and an
improving balance sheet, the company now is rated investment grade by four of
the major rating agencies.
Ford now projects that total company
full-year pre-tax profit, excluding special items, to be about $8.5 billion, better than 2012 and
in line with its most recent outlook. The company also is reconfirming its
outlook that Automotive operating margin will be higher than a year ago and that
Automotive operating-related cash flow will be substantially higher than 2012,
potentially a record.
Ford expects North America full-year
2013 pre-tax profit to be the highest in more than a decade, with an operating
margin of 9.5 percent to 10 percent; this compares to prior guidance of about 10
percent. The difference reflects mainly higher warranty expense of $250 million
to $300 million associated primarily with the Escape 1.6 liter recall announced
last month.
In South America, the company now
expects results to be about breakeven as recent government actions in Venezuela
have affected adversely the business and overall results in the region. This
compares to prior guidance of about breakeven to profitable results for
2013.
The 2013 outlook for all other
Automotive business units, Automotive net interest expense and Ford Credit is
unchanged from prior guidance.
Finally, the company expects its
full year operating effective tax rate to be about 27 percent. This compares to
prior guidance of less than 30 percent.
Pension
Update
In addition to an expectation of a
much improved funded status for Ford’s global pension plans at year-end 2013,
substantial progress has been made in two other areas.
First is the company’s U.S. salaried
retiree voluntary lump sum program that began in 2012 and is now complete. For
the total program, the company made payments to about 35,000 people, or about
37 percent of those eligible,
settling $4.2 billion in obligations or about 25 percent of the related
liability. In total, Ford will recognize special item charges of about $850
million, of which $600 million will be in 2013 with about $150 million
projected to occur in the fourth quarter.
The second area of progress is
reduced cash requirements during the next three years to fully fund Ford’s
global funded pension plans. The company now expects average annual
contributions required over the next three years to be about $1 billion to
$2 billion per year, down from the prior outlook of $2 billion to $3 billion per
year.
2014 The Next
Step in Ford’s Plan to Deliver Profitable Growth
2014 is expected to be another solid
year for Ford and a critical building block in the One Ford Plan as Ford moves
forward in building stronger global brands, a growing business based on
outstanding products and a better balanced business in terms of source of sales
and profitability. This is supported by a strengthening balance sheet that will
continue to enable the company to reward shareholders with attractive
returns.
In 2014, Ford will embark on its
most aggressive product launch schedule in its history. The company will launch
23 all-new or significantly refreshed vehicles around the world — more than
double the 11 global vehicle launches in 2013.
“This is our most ambitious launch
plan ever, as we continue to implement our One Ford plan,” said Shanks. “In
2014, we are investing across the world to support next year’s launches, but
also to drive profitable growth beyond 2014 as we serve more customers in more
markets and in more segments.”
Overall, 2014 represents the next
step in delivering profitable growth for all, with total company pre-tax profit,
excluding special items, projected at $7 billion to $8 billion.
North
America
Ford will have 16 launches in North
America in 2014. This is triple the number of vehicles launched in Ford’s
largest region in 2013. The 2014 launches in North America will cover a
significant percentage of the region’s volume. As a result, Ford expects
wholesale volume next year in North America to be lower than in 2013 and net
pricing to be slightly unfavorable as it runs out prior models and assumes a
continuation of a more competitive pricing environment for small and medium cars
and utilities due to the weaker yen. Costs associated with this product growth
will increase next year as well.
“The payoff for North America from
the 2014 launches and investments we incur for future periods will be a stronger
product lineup and volume and revenue opportunities into 2015 and beyond,” said
Shanks.
As a result, Ford expects North
America 2014 pre-tax profit to be lower than in 2013, with an operating margin
ranging from 8 percent to 9 percent, consistent with the company’s targeted
ongoing range of 8 percent to 10
percent.
South
America
The One Ford plan is expected to
improve profitability in Brazil and Argentina in 2014, particularly as customers
continue to respond well to the company’s new products, but the company expects
these improvements to be offset by deterioration in the external environment in
Venezuela. This includes a planning assumption of a major devaluation in the
bolivar — from 6.3 to 12 bolivars to the U.S. dollar — with an unfavorable
profit effect of about $350 million.
As a consequence, results in 2014
for South America are expected to be about the same as in 2013 or about
breakeven. There are risks to this outlook, however, given the volatility of the
situation in Venezuela and increasing risks in the environment in
Argentina.
Europe
Ford’s Europe transformation plan is
on track. Ford’s Genk, Belgium, facility will close at year-end 2014 as planned,
significantly contributing to an 18 percent reduction in Ford’s capacity in
Europe, excluding Russia, and generating savings in 2015 and beyond. During the
year, however, the company expects to incur restructuring costs of about $400
million related primarily to accelerated depreciation of plant assets and
production relocations. These costs will be reported in Europe’s operating
results as they have been in 2013. In addition, the company will incur higher
launch and engineering costs in 2014 consistent with its plan to add at least 25
new vehicles in five years.
The company also expects special
item charges in Europe in 2014 of $400 million to $500 million, mainly related
to personnel separations; these charges will not be reported in operating
results.
For 2014, the company expects
results in Europe to improve compared to 2013 as it continues the successful
implementation of its transformation plan to achieve profitability in the region
in 2015.
Asia
Pacific
Ford’s operations in Asia Pacific
have been undergoing a positive transformation during the last several years as
it invested consistently for growth. The results of this investment have been
strong growth, including record market share in 2013 and a profitable business,
including what is expected to be a record full-year result this
year.
The company will continue to execute
its growth strategy for the region in 2014. It currently has six major
facilities under construction across the region, with two facilities in China
starting production next year and two more in 2015. In India, the two facilities
now being built also will start production in 2015.
For 2014, the company expects
pre-tax profit in Asia Pacific to be about the same as 2013 due to costs
associated with its growth, a slower rate of top-line growth due to production
constraints and a more competitive pricing environment, and unfavorable results
in Australia as Ford restructures the business and reflects the effects of a
weakening Australian dollar.
Ford
Credit
Ford Credit is expected to perform
well next year with profit about equal to this year. Growth should offset the
continued normalization of credit losses, the continued run off of
higher-yielding assets and the impact of Ford Credit’s strategy to unencumber
its balance sheet to build a stronger investment-grade company.
Mid-decade
Outlook
Beyond 2014, Ford generally remains
on track to achieve its mid-decade outlook, but its targeted global Automotive
operating margin of 8 percent to 9 percent is at risk. This is due to the severe
European downturn and conditions in South America, especially in Venezuela, that
were not anticipated at the time the guidance was provided in mid-2011. The
company expects its results over the mid-decade period to be strong and
improving.
2013 Planning
Assumptions and Outlook
The following is a summary of
present planning assumptions and key metrics for 2013 compared with the plan the
company shared at the beginning of the year.
|
|
Memo: |
||||||||||||
2012 |
2013 |
2013 |
||||||||||||
Full
Year |
Full
Year |
First
Nine |
||||||||||||
Results |
Plan |
Outlook |
Months |
|||||||||||
Planning
Assumptions (Mils.) |
||||||||||||||
Industry Volume* -- U.S.
|
14.8 |
|
15.0 - 16.0 |
15.9 |
15.8 |
|
||||||||
Industry Volume* --
Europe** |
14.0 |
|
13.0 - 14.0 |
13.7 |
13.6 |
|
||||||||
Industry Volume* --
China |
19.0 |
|
19.5 - 21.5 |
21.9 |
21.6 |
|
||||||||
Operational
Metrics |
||||||||||||||
Compared with Prior
Year: |
||||||||||||||
- U.S. Market
Share |
15.2 |
|
% |
Higher |
On Track |
15.8 |
|
% | ||||||
- Europe Market
Share** |
7.9 |
|
About Equal |
On Track |
8.0 |
|
||||||||
- China Market
Share*** |
3.2 |
|
Higher |
On Track |
4.0 |
|
||||||||
- Quality |
Mixed |
|
Improve |
Mixed |
Mixed |
|
||||||||
Financial
Metrics**** |
||||||||||||||
Compared with Prior
Year: |
||||||||||||||
- Total Company Pre-Tax
Operating Profit (Bils.) |
$ |
8.0 |
|
About Equal |
Higher |
$ |
7.3 |
|
||||||
- Automotive Operating
Margin |
5.3 |
|
% |
About Equal /
Lower |
Higher |
6.2 |
|
% | ||||||
- Automotive
Operating-Related Cash Flow (Bils.) |
$ |
3.4 |
|
Higher |
Substantially
Higher |
$ |
5.6 |
|
||||||
* |
Includes
medium and heavy trucks |
|||||||||||||
** |
The 19
markets Ford tracks |
|||||||||||||
*** |
Includes
Ford and JMC brand vehicles produced in China by unconsolidated
affiliates |
|||||||||||||
**** |
Excludes
special items; Automotive operating margin is defined as Automotive
pre-tax results, excluding special items and Other Automotive, divided by
Automotive revenue |
The following is a summary of the
company’s profit outlook at the business unit level and the outlook for
Automotive net interest and operating tax.
2013 | |||||||||
2012 |
Prior |
Updated | |||||||
Results |
Outlook |
Outlook | |||||||
(Mils.) |
|||||||||
Automotive
* |
|||||||||
North America |
$ |
8,343 |
|
Higher than 2012
Operating Margin about
10% |
On track
9.5% - 10% | ||||
South America |
213 |
|
Breakeven to
Profitable |
About
Breakeven | |||||
Europe |
(1,753 |
) |
Better than
2012 |
On track | |||||
Asia Pacific
Africa |
(77 |
) |
Profitable |
On track | |||||
Net Interest
Expense |
(489 |
) |
About $(800)
million |
On track | |||||
Ford
Credit |
$ |
1,697 |
|
About equal to
2012 |
On track | ||||
Operating
Tax Rate |
32 |
|
% |
Less than 30% |
About 27% | ||||
* Excluding special
items |
2014 Planning
Assumptions
Ford’s planning assumptions and key
metrics for 2014 include the following:
2014 | ||
Full
Year | ||
Plan | ||
Planning
Assumptions (Mils.) |
||
Industry Volume* -- U.S.
|
16.0 - 17.0 | |
Industry Volume* --
Europe** |
13.5 - 14.5 | |
Industry Volume* --
China*** |
22.5 - 24.5 | |
Key
Metrics (Compared with 2013) |
||
Automotive: |
||
- Revenue
(Bils.) |
||
- Operating
Margin**** |
||
- Operating-Related Cash
Flow (Bils.) |
||
Ford
Credit: |
||
- Pre-Tax Profits
(Bils.) |
||
Total
Company: |
||
- Pre-Tax Profits
(Bils.)**** |
||
* |
Includes
medium and heavy trucks |
|
** |
The 20
markets Ford tracks |
|
*** |
Includes
Ford and JMC brand vehicles produced in China by unconsolidated
affiliates | |
**** |
Excludes
special items; Automotive operating margin is defined as Automotive
pre-tax results, excluding Other Automotive, divided by Automotive
revenue |
+ The
following information applies to the information throughout this
release:
• |
Pre-tax
results exclude
special items unless
otherwise noted. |
• |
All
references to records by Automotive business units are since at least 2000
when Ford began reporting results for Ford North America, Ford South
America, Ford Europe and Ford Asia Pacific Africa.
|
• |
See tables
at the end of this release for the nature and amount of special items, and
reconciliation of items designated as “excluding special items” to U.S.
generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). Also see the tables for
reconciliation to GAAP of Automotive gross cash, operating-related cash
flow and net interest. |
• |
Discussion
of overall Automotive cost changes is measured primarily at present-year
exchange and excludes special items and discontinued operations; in
addition, costs that vary directly with production volume, such as
material, freight and warranty costs, are measured at present-year volume
and mix. |
Risk
Factors
Statements included or incorporated
by reference herein may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the
meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking
statements are based on expectations, forecasts, and assumptions by our
management and involve a number of risks, uncertainties, and other factors that
could cause actual results to differ materially from those stated, including,
without limitation:
• |
Decline in industry sales
volume, particularly in the United States or Europe, due to financial
crisis, recession, geopolitical events, or other factors;
|
• |
Decline in Ford’s market share
or failure to achieve growth; |
• |
Lower-than-anticipated market
acceptance of Ford’s new or existing
products; |
• |
Market shift away from sales of
larger, more profitable vehicles beyond Ford’s current planning
assumption, particularly in the United States;
|
• |
An increase in or continued
volatility of fuel prices, or reduced availability of fuel;
|
• |
Continued or increased price
competition resulting from industry excess capacity, currency
fluctuations, or other factors; |
• |
Fluctuations in foreign
currency exchange rates, commodity prices, and interest
rates; |
• |
Adverse effects resulting from
economic, geopolitical, or other events; |
• |
Economic distress of suppliers
that may require Ford to provide substantial financial support or take
other measures to ensure supplies of components or materials and could
increase costs, affect liquidity, or cause production constraints or
disruptions; |
• |
Work stoppages at Ford or
supplier facilities or other limitations on production (whether as a
result of labor disputes, natural or man-made disasters, tight credit
markets or other financial distress, production constraints or
difficulties, or other factors); |
• |
Single-source supply of
components or materials; |
• |
Labor or other constraints on
Ford’s ability to maintain competitive cost structure;
|
• |
Substantial pension and
postretirement health care and life insurance liabilities impairing our
liquidity or financial condition; |
• |
Worse-than-assumed economic and
demographic experience for postretirement benefit plans
(e.g., discount rates or investment returns);
|
• |
Restriction on use of tax
attributes from tax law “ownership
change;” |
• |
The discovery of defects in
vehicles resulting in delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, or
increased warranty costs; |
• |
Increased safety, emissions,
fuel economy, or other regulations resulting in higher costs, cash
expenditures, and/or sales restrictions; |
• |
Unusual or significant
litigation, governmental investigations, or adverse publicity arising out
of alleged defects in products, perceived environmental impacts, or
otherwise; |
• |
A change in requirements under
long-term supply arrangements committing Ford to purchase minimum or fixed
quantities of certain parts, or to pay a minimum amount to the seller
(“take-or-pay” contracts); |
• |
Adverse effects on results from
a decrease in or cessation or clawback of government incentives related to
investments; |
• |
Inherent limitations of
internal controls impacting financial statements and safeguarding of
assets; |
• |
Cybersecurity risks to
operational systems, security systems, or infrastructure owned by Ford,
Ford Credit, or a third-party vendor or
supplier; |
• |
Failure of financial
institutions to fulfill commitments under committed credit and liquidity
facilities; |
• |
Inability of Ford Credit to
access debt, securitization, or derivative markets around the world at
competitive rates or in sufficient amounts, due to credit rating
downgrades, market volatility, market disruption, regulatory requirements,
or other factors; |
• |
Higher-than-expected credit
losses, lower-than-anticipated residual values, or higher-than-expected
return volumes for leased vehicles; |
• |
Increased competition from
banks or other financial institutions seeking to increase their share of
financing Ford vehicles; and |
• |
New or increased credit,
consumer, or data protection or other regulations resulting in higher
costs and/or additional financing restrictions.
|
We cannot be certain that any
expectation, forecast, or assumption made in preparing forward-looking
statements will prove accurate, or that any projection will be realized. It is
to be expected that there may be differences between projected and actual
results. Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of their
initial issuance, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise
publicly any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information,
future events, or otherwise. For additional discussion, see “Item 1A. Risk
Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2012, as updated by our subsequent Quarterly Reports on
Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K.
Webcast:
Ford Motor Company Provides Year-End Update
Ford Motor Company will
conduct a year-end briefing with sell-side auto analysts and media on
Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2013.
Bob Shanks, Ford executive vice
president and chief financial officer, will host the meeting, which begins
at 9 a.m. EST.
The listen-only audio webcast
and supporting materials will be available for media, investors and other
interested parties at www.shareholder.ford.com.
|
TOTAL
COMPANY |
||||||||
INCOME
FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS |
||||||||
First Nine
Months | ||||||||
2012 |
2013 | |||||||
(Mils.) |
(Mils.) | |||||||
Automotive |
||||||||
North America |
$ |
6,471 |
|
$ |
7,079 |
| ||
South America |
68 |
|
92 |
| ||||
Europe |
(1,021 |
) |
(1,038 |
) | ||||
Asia Pacific
Africa |
(116 |
) |
309 |
| ||||
Other
Automotive |
(408 |
) |
(469 |
) | ||||
Total Automotive (excl. special
items) |
$ |
4,994 |
|
|
$ |
5,973 |
| |
Special items --
Automotive |
(406 |
) |
(1,257 |
) | ||||
Total
Automotive |
$ |
4,588 |
|
|
$ |
4,716 |
| |
Financial
Services |
||||||||
Ford Credit |
$ |
1,283 |
|
$ |
1,388 |
| ||
Other Financial
Services |
8 |
|
(71 |
) | ||||
Total Financial
Services |
$ |
1,291 |
|
$ |
1,317 |
| ||
Total
Company |
||||||||
Pre-tax
results |
$ |
5,879 |
|
|
$ |
6,033 |
| |
(Provision for)/Benefit from
income taxes |
(1,810 |
) |
(1,914 |
) | ||||
Net income |
$ |
4,069 |
|
|
$ |
4,119 |
| |
Less: Income/(Loss)
attributable to non-controlling interests |
2 |
|
3 |
| ||||
Net income attributable to
Ford |
$ |
4,067 |
|
|
$ |
4,116 |
| |
Memo: Excluding special
items |
||||||||
Pre-tax results |
$ |
6,285 |
|
|
$ |
7,290 |
| |
(Provision for)/Benefit from
income taxes |
(1,928 |
) |
(1,991 |
) | ||||
Less: Income/(Loss)
attributable to non-controlling interests |
2 |
|
|
3 |
| |||
After-tax
results |
$ |
4,355 |
|
|
$ |
5,296 |
|
TOTAL
COMPANY |
||||||||
SPECIAL
ITEMS |
||||||||
First Nine
Months | ||||||||
2012 |
2013 | |||||||
(Mils.) |
(Mils.) | |||||||
Personnel
and Dealer-Related Items |
||||||||
Separation-related
actions* |
$ |
(290 |
) |
$ |
(700 |
) | ||
Mercury discontinuation / Other
dealer actions |
(47 |
) |
— |
| ||||
Total Personnel and
Dealer-Related Items |
$ |
(337 |
) |
|
$ |
(700 |
) | |
Other
Items |
||||||||
U.S. pension lump sum
program |
$ |
— |
|
$ |
(439 |
) | ||
Loss on sale of two component
businesses |
(174 |
) |
— |
| ||||
FCTA - subsidiary
liquidation |
(4 |
) |
(103 |
) | ||||
AAI
consolidation |
136 |
|
— |
| ||||
Other |
(27 |
) |
(15 |
) | ||||
Total Other
Items |
$ |
(69 |
) |
|
$ |
(557 |
) | |
Total
Special Items |
$ |
(406 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,257 |
) | |
Tax Special
Items |
$ |
118 |
|
$ |
77 |
| ||
Memo: |
||||||||
Special Items impact on
earnings per share** |
$ |
(0.07 |
) |
$ |
(0.29 |
) | ||
* |
For 2013,
primarily related to separation costs for personnel at the Genk and U.K.
facilities | |||||||
** |
Includes
related tax effect on special items and tax special
items |
NET
INTEREST RECONCILIATION TO GAAP |
||||||||
First Nine
Months | ||||||||
2012 |
2013 | |||||||
(Mils.) |
(Mils.) | |||||||
Interest expense
(GAAP) |
$ |
(571 |
) |
$ |
(617 |
) | ||
Interest income
(GAAP) |
220 |
|
125 |
| ||||
Subtotal |
$ |
(351 |
) |
|
$ |
(492 |
) | |
Adjusted for items included /
excluded from net interest: |
||||||||
Include: Gains/(Losses) on cash
equivalents & marketable securities* |
64 |
|
(7 |
) | ||||
Include: Gains/(Losses) on
extinguishment of debt |
— |
|
(18 |
) | ||||
Other |
(55 |
) |
(80 |
) | ||||
Net Interest |
$ |
(342 |
) |
|
$ |
(597 |
) | |
* |
Excludes
mark-to-market adjustments of our investment in
Mazda |
AUTOMOTIVE
SECTOR |
||||||||
OPERATING-RELATED
CASH FLOWS RECONCILIATION TO GAAP |
||||||||
First Nine
Months | ||||||||
2012 |
2013 | |||||||
(Bils.) |
(Bils.) | |||||||
Cash flows from operating
activities of continuing operations (GAAP) |
$ |
4.1 |
|
$ |
6.4 |
| ||
Items included in
operating-related cash flows |
||||||||
Capital
expenditures |
(3.6 |
) |
(4.6 |
) | ||||
Proceeds from the
exercise of stock options |
— |
|
0.3 |
| ||||
Net cash flows from
non-designated derivatives |
(0.6 |
) |
(0.3 |
) | ||||
Items not included in
operating-related cash flows |
||||||||
Cash impact of Job Security
Benefits and personnel-reduction actions |
0.3 |
|
0.2 |
| ||||
Pension
contributions |
2.5 |
|
3.9 |
| ||||
Tax refunds and tax payments
from affiliates |
(0.1 |
) |
(0.3 |
) | ||||
Settlement of outstanding
obligation with affiliates |
(0.3 |
) |
— |
| ||||
Other |
0.1 |
|
— |
| ||||
Operating-related cash
flows |
$ |
2.4 |
|
|
$ |
5.6 |
|
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Ford Fusion, Escape Post Best August Sales Ever; Explorer Achieves Best August Performance Since 2004
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Details of Ford Motor Company's August 2014 U.S. Sales Conference Call
Ford Motor Company Lincoln Motor Company
Ford Motor Company Lincoln Motor Company
Ford Motor Company
Ford Motor Company Lincoln Motor Company